Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024118 0.029083 0.034295 0.040133 0.046451 0.053047 0.060420
2025-11-30 0.016650 0.023612 0.031477 0.040816 0.051425 0.062953 0.076286
2025-12-07 0.012254 0.020277 0.029947 0.041974 0.056127 0.071928 0.090609
2025-12-14 0.009584 0.018325 0.029480 0.043875 0.061270 0.081069 0.104830
2025-12-21 0.007172 0.016147 0.028314 0.044587 0.064733 0.088057 0.116411
2025-12-28 0.006449 0.016172 0.029858 0.048550 0.072002 0.099403 0.132942
2026-01-04 0.004287 0.013495 0.027448 0.047238 0.072657 0.102821 0.140158
2026-01-11 0.003189 0.012266 0.026863 0.048152 0.075948 0.109283 0.150857
2026-01-18 0.002196 0.010900 0.025896 0.048424 0.078335 0.114586 0.160130
2026-01-25 0.001485 0.009826 0.025225 0.048997 0.081030 0.120208 0.169736
2026-02-01 0.000880 0.008654 0.024243 0.049033 0.082958 0.124837 0.178115
2026-02-08 0.000290 0.006829 0.021908 0.046963 0.082006 0.125817 0.182028
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.005266 0.019812 0.045181 0.081474 0.127431 0.186890
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004700 0.019503 0.046057 0.084521 0.133564 0.197297
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004303 0.019464 0.047316 0.088078 0.140338 0.208494
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004155 0.019922 0.049345 0.092685 0.148448 0.221333
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003691 0.019605 0.050102 0.095513 0.154275 0.231357
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004137 0.021414 0.054308 0.103158 0.166281 0.249014
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003193 0.019817 0.052917 0.102944 0.168183 0.254179
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002880 0.019679 0.053886 0.106024 0.174308 0.264558
2026-04-12 NaN 0.002457 0.019159 0.054175 0.108115 0.179140 0.273323
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002139 0.018846 0.054782 0.110641 0.184526 0.282768
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001758 0.018229 0.054820 0.112323 0.188791 0.290801